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November 8, 2016 349 replies
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Q1. Today is the day. Among your friends and relatives, roughly what percentage do you think are voting for the SAME presidential candidate that you are?
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+

I really don't know

10%
12%
9%
4%
19%
6%
10%
8%
12%

0%

2%
1%
2%
0%
4%
1%
1%
3%
1%

15%

5%
7%
2%
2%
8%
4%
2%
7%
4%

30%

3%
4%
3%
6%
1%
4%
6%
1%
4%

50%

23%
14%
32%
27%
22%
22%
56%
14%
22%

70%

17%
16%
17%
13%
13%
24%
8%
20%
17%

85%

26%
28%
24%
34%
17%
28%
8%
36%
23%

100%

10%
13%
7%
10%
13%
7%
6%
7%
14%

I'm not voting

0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Q2. Lets see how good we are. Please pick who you THINK will win in each of these battleground states. Please try to pick a winner in each state, even if you aren't very confident in your selection.
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+

Nevada--Clinton

49%
48%
50%
28%
48%
71%
30%
41%
60%

Nevada--Trump

42%
43%
43%
67%
37%
25%
61%
45%
36%

Ohio--Clinton

27%
18%
37%
10%
28%
45%
51%
24%
24%

Ohio--Trump

64%
72%
55%
85%
58%
48%
38%
61%
72%

North Carolina--Clinton

36%
33%
38%
16%
30%
60%
18%
36%
39%

North Carolina--Trump

55%
57%
55%
79%
55%
33%
68%
51%
56%

Pennsylvania--Clinton

63%
58%
67%
47%
53%
89%
58%
60%
66%

Pennsylvania--Trump

28%
30%
26%
46%
31%
7%
29%
26%
30%

Florida--Clinton

43%
39%
48%
14%
35%
82%
50%
38%
45%

Florida--Trump

50%
51%
51%
81%
50%
21%
61%
49%
49%

Can't hazard a guess in any of these

6%
6%
6%
2%
12%
3%
7%
11%
2%
Q3. And please pick who you THINK will win in each of these battleground states.
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+

Colorado--Trump

34%
37%
30%
58%
33%
10%
34%
30%
36%

Colorado--Clinton

59%
55%
62%
38%
52%
87%
57%
58%
60%

New Hampshire--Trump

41%
44%
39%
64%
42%
19%
45%
39%
43%

New Hampshire--Clinton

50%
47%
53%
29%
45%
76%
45%
48%
53%

Michigan--Trump

45%
46%
45%
64%
45%
28%
64%
38%
46%

Michigan--Clinton

46%
46%
45%
30%
40%
67%
27%
48%
49%

Can't hazard a guess in any of these

7%
7%
7%
3%
14%
3%
7%
14%
2%
If you find yourself waiting in line to vote, and you're in a mind to get a way-back look at America's regional distinctions, you could do worse than read this book review of Albion's Seed
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