Q1. Today is the day. Among your friends and relatives, roughly what percentage do you think are voting for the SAME presidential candidate that you are?
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
I really don't know
10%
12%
9%
4%
19%
6%
10%
8%
12%
0%
2%
1%
2%
0%
4%
1%
1%
3%
1%
15%
5%
7%
2%
2%
8%
4%
2%
7%
4%
30%
3%
4%
3%
6%
1%
4%
6%
1%
4%
50%
23%
14%
32%
27%
22%
22%
56%
14%
22%
70%
17%
16%
17%
13%
13%
24%
8%
20%
17%
85%
26%
28%
24%
34%
17%
28%
8%
36%
23%
100%
10%
13%
7%
10%
13%
7%
6%
7%
14%
I'm not voting
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Q2. Lets see how good we are. Please pick who you THINK will win in each of these battleground states. Please try to pick a winner in each state, even if you aren't very confident in your selection.
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Nevada--Clinton
49%
48%
50%
28%
48%
71%
30%
41%
60%
Nevada--Trump
42%
43%
43%
67%
37%
25%
61%
45%
36%
Ohio--Clinton
27%
18%
37%
10%
28%
45%
51%
24%
24%
Ohio--Trump
64%
72%
55%
85%
58%
48%
38%
61%
72%
North Carolina--Clinton
36%
33%
38%
16%
30%
60%
18%
36%
39%
North Carolina--Trump
55%
57%
55%
79%
55%
33%
68%
51%
56%
Pennsylvania--Clinton
63%
58%
67%
47%
53%
89%
58%
60%
66%
Pennsylvania--Trump
28%
30%
26%
46%
31%
7%
29%
26%
30%
Florida--Clinton
43%
39%
48%
14%
35%
82%
50%
38%
45%
Florida--Trump
50%
51%
51%
81%
50%
21%
61%
49%
49%
Can't hazard a guess in any of these
6%
6%
6%
2%
12%
3%
7%
11%
2%
Q3. And please pick who you THINK will win in each of these battleground states.
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Colorado--Trump
34%
37%
30%
58%
33%
10%
34%
30%
36%
Colorado--Clinton
59%
55%
62%
38%
52%
87%
57%
58%
60%
New Hampshire--Trump
41%
44%
39%
64%
42%
19%
45%
39%
43%
New Hampshire--Clinton
50%
47%
53%
29%
45%
76%
45%
48%
53%
Michigan--Trump
45%
46%
45%
64%
45%
28%
64%
38%
46%
Michigan--Clinton
46%
46%
45%
30%
40%
67%
27%
48%
49%
Can't hazard a guess in any of these
7%
7%
7%
3%
14%
3%
7%
14%
2%
If you find yourself waiting in line to vote, and you're in a mind to get a way-back look at America's regional distinctions, you could do worse than read this book review of Albion's Seed
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