Poll: Building Bridges

Q1. At 6.32 pm EST Tuesday night, President Trump announced that the US and Iran had agreed to a two-week cease-fire. The deal, which was brokered by Pakistan, calls for the US and Israel to pause their attacks, while Iran allows ships safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz.

In reaction to the agreement, oil prices dropped 20% and US stocks rose 3%. However, those moves reversed somewhat Wednesday, after Iran announced it was re-closing the Strait due to Israel’s continued attacks on Hezbollah in Lebanon.

What do you think will generally be the case for the two-week cease-fire period? (check all that apply)

overall

custom

male

female

rep

ind

dem

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Strait will be open

28%

30%

29%

55%

23%

10%

8%

35%

31%

26%

28%

Closed

61%

63%

59%

32%

68%

83%

78%

51%

61%

67%

61%

US will pause attacks on Iran

56%

64%

49%

79%

56%

39%

58%

60%

52%

58%

56%

Will not

32%

30%

35%

6%

35%

52%

28%

26%

36%

34%

32%

Israel will pause attacks on Hezbollah

10%

12%

8%

23%

2%

14%

10%

8%

10%

Will not

76%

79%

74%

50%

91%

92%

72%

77%

73%

82%

76%

Not sure

11%

7%

13%

17%

7%

6%

14%

15%

11%

3%

11%

Don't care

1%

0%

1%

0%

1%

Q2. In previous days, President Trump said he would order the destruction of Iran’s bridges, desalination plants, power generators, and other civilian infrastructure if the Strait remained closed.

Tuesday at 8.06 am EST he had posted, “A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again” unless the Strait was opened by 8pm EST. As mentioned above, a deal was announced at 6.32pm.

Your view? (check all that apply)

overall

custom

male

female

rep

ind

dem

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Pleased cease-fire was reached

77%

82%

72%

77%

76%

77%

86%

78%

71%

81%

77%

Displeased

11%

13%

10%

16%

12%

7%

14%

7%

14%

8%

11%

Trump threats helped bring about cease-fire

36%

48%

30%

81%

27%

5%

36%

31%

40%

37%

36%

Hindered

49%

44%

53%

7%

59%

79%

60%

50%

44%

53%

49%

Support those threats carried out if no deal

27%

34%

23%

65%

19%

0%

4%

26%

35%

26%

27%

Oppose

61%

56%

64%

12%

76%

94%

68%

61%

56%

67%

61%

Not sure

7%

8%

6%

12%

4%

28%

7%

5%

3%

7%

Don't care

0%

1%

0%

Q3. President Trump said an Iranian ten-point peace plan is a “workable basis on which to negotiate” a permanent peace.

Iran's ten-point plan:
• End to US attacks on Iran
• End to Israel attacks on Iran, Hezbollah
• Iran controls Strait of Hormuz, charges fee
• Iran commits to not build nuclear weapons
• Acceptance of Iran’s right to enrich uranium
• US military withdrawal from the Middle East
• The release of frozen Iranian assets
• UN resolution making any deal binding
• Iran agrees to peace treaties with Gulf states
• Lifting all sanctions on Iran

President Trump said he would not allow enrichment, Israel has continued to strike Hezbollah, and Iranian control over the Strait would be a new occurrence that would contravene international maritime law.

Your view?

overall

custom

male

female

rep

ind

dem

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

Group A

I'm open to compromise on all points

30%

28%

32%

8%

42%

44%

32%

28%

30%

33%

30%

Some

46%

49%

44%

52%

40%

44%

54%

48%

43%

47%

46%

None

16%

21%

12%

33%

10%

4%

14%

10%

20%

16%

Not sure

5%

2%

7%

1%

4%

8%

0%

6%

7%

2%

5%

Group B

Open to ground invasion if no agreement

23%

30%

18%

56%

12%

0%

14%

26%

24%

20%

23%

Not open

69%

62%

72%

28%

81%

96%

86%

62%

65%

73%

69%

Not sure

8%

9%

15%

4%

0%

11%

10%

7%

8%

Group C

Permanent cease-fire within 30 days

37%

33%

39%

32%

45%

39%

32%

34%

35%

46%

37%

Not within 30 days

36%

44%

32%

31%

36%

40%

50%

26%

37%

40%

36%

Not sure

25%

22%

26%

32%

18%

21%

18%

34%

28%

13%

25%

Don't care

0%

2%

0%