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Setting The Stage
January 1, 2026 1080 replies Error Margin: + 3%
Times Square, NYC Dec 31, 1940. Wikimedia
Times Square, NYC Dec 31, 1940. Wikimedia
Q1. Happy New Year! May your 2026 be healthy and happy.

Which two of these 2025 domestic events do you think were the most important? (please select up to TWO)
(Image: New Year's Eve 1925, Gibson Hotel, Cincinnati, OH. Getty // Cincinnati Museum Center)
overall
custom
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+

Trump pardons all Jan 6 convicted/accused

28%
25%
30%
16%
24%
40%
41%
21%
24%
37%
28%

"Signalgate" cabinet boat strike chat + reporter

4%
1%
6%
0%
5%
6%
12%
1%
2%
4%
4%

National Guard deployed to US cities

34%
28%
37%
20%
37%
45%
44%
42%
27%
29%
34%

Longest-ever government shutdown

17%
14%
20%
17%
16%
17%
27%
8%
21%
17%
17%

TX July 4 floods kill 135

6%
3%
9%
7%
7%
6%
12%
6%
5%
6%
6%

MN legislators shot

10%
9%
11%
8%
11%
13%
12%
16%
7%
8%
10%

Affordability

14%
12%
16%
4%
14%
22%
12%
14%
14%
15%
14%

East Wing ballroom renovation

6%
3%
9%
0%
2%
12%
12%
7%
3%
7%
6%

Epstein files

29%
30%
28%
10%
33%
45%
56%
22%
27%
28%
29%

Charlie Kirk assassinated

35%
45%
28%
74%
26%
4%
27%
43%
37%
27%
35%

Brown University, MIT professor shootings

3%
1%
4%
0%
2%
5%
12%
2%
1%
2%
3%

Rob and Michelle Reiner killed

4%
2%
5%
0%
2%
7%
12%
2%
3%
4%
4%

Estimated 300k-600k deportations

26%
19%
32%
35%
22%
20%
42%
20%
27%
23%
26%

Estimated 1m-2m self-deportations

18%
20%
16%
34%
11%
5%
12%
30%
14%
12%
18%

None of these important

2%
1%
4%
2%
2%
3%
0%
4%
3%
1%
2%
Q2. Which two of these 2025 international events do you think were the most important? (please select up to TWO)
(Image: Doll is dubbed "Miss 1926" at a New Year's Party, London, England, Jan. 1, 1926. Getty // Topical Press Agency)
overall
custom
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+

Tariffs

48%
45%
50%
47%
42%
50%
50%
46%
46%
52%
48%

USAID dismantled

54%
48%
59%
46%
45%
62%
39%
60%
52%
55%
54%

Trump-Zelensky Oval Office meeting

8%
8%
8%
7%
7%
8%
27%
5%
6%
4%
8%

US strikes on alleged drug boats in Carribean

31%
22%
38%
22%
40%
36%
38%
28%
30%
33%
31%

Qatar gifts plane for AF1, Trump library

10%
3%
15%
0%
10%
18%
15%
9%
9%
8%
10%

American becomes pope

11%
13%
10%
13%
8%
10%
3%
12%
14%
10%
11%

Israel, US bomb Iran nuclear facilities

25%
37%
15%
48%
24%
6%
30%
28%
22%
25%
25%

Israel-Hamas cease-fire

15%
21%
11%
20%
12%
12%
36%
4%
18%
14%
15%

Bondi Beach Hanukkah shootings

6%
2%
9%
7%
7%
5%
12%
2%
7%
7%
6%

None of these important

3%
2%
3%
1%
3%
4%
0%
5%
3%
1%
3%
Q3. Which two of these would you most like to see happen in 2026? (please select up to TWO)
(Image: Rose Bowl Parade, Pasadena, CA, Jan 1, 1926 via Huntington Digital Library)
overall
custom
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+

Gas prices decline 10%

12%
15%
9%
22%
8%
3%
12%
14%
13%
6%
12%

Grocery prices decline 10%

27%
27%
25%
26%
22%
28%
39%
25%
26%
23%
27%

Housing becomes 10% more affordable

17%
17%
17%
17%
16%
18%
36%
20%
15%
9%
17%

Healthcare becomes 10% more affordable

17%
12%
21%
10%
18%
23%
0%
9%
23%
25%
17%

More harmony in US politics/society

28%
29%
27%
25%
38%
27%
17%
31%
28%
28%
28%

My favorite pro or college team wins title

3%
6%
1%
3%
5%
2%
3%
6%
2%
1%
3%

End of Ukraine-Russia war on 'good' terms

18%
18%
19%
11%
11%
26%
12%
20%
14%
25%
18%

My preferred party controls House & Senate

42%
40%
44%
39%
20%
50%
39%
34%
42%
52%
42%

Neither party controls both House & Senate

2%
2%
3%
0%
9%
3%
3%
1%
3%
4%
2%

True peace between Israel and its neighbors

14%
13%
14%
15%
18%
11%
20%
11%
15%
10%
14%

Fed Funds rate goes from 3.75% to 2.5%

8%
9%
6%
13%
8%
5%
0%
13%
8%
7%
8%

The budget deficit shrinks by 10%

15%
20%
11%
29%
14%
3%
3%
26%
16%
7%
15%

Global CO2 emissions drop by 10%

11%
13%
10%
4%
15%
17%
18%
15%
6%
13%
11%

Stock market up 20%

9%
10%
9%
17%
8%
3%
0%
13%
10%
8%
9%

None of these

3%
1%
5%
1%
6%
3%
0%
6%
3%
1%
3%
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