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Sky Writing
December 17, 2024 999 replies Error Margin: + 3%
Orson Welles telling reporters he had not intended to cause panic with his adaptation of War of the Worlds radio broadcast, 1938. Wikimedia
Orson Welles telling reporters he had not intended to cause panic with his adaptation of War of the Worlds radio broadcast, 1938. Wikimedia
Q1. In mid-November, personnel inside the Picatinny Arsenal in NJ spotted what they said was a drone flying near the base. Days later, reports of drone sightings began pouring into NJ police. Then reports of bright lights floating or flying in the sky above NJ began circulating on social media, and more recently, reports began coming from residents of nearby states.

What do you think best describes the objects?
overall
custom
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+

No drones, just stars, planets, planes

2%
3%
2%
2%
1%
3%
0%
2%
3%
3%
2%

Mostly stars et al, some drones

23%
27%
18%
10%
19%
37%
31%
26%
18%
22%
23%

Mostly drones

44%
42%
48%
56%
43%
32%
40%
38%
48%
48%
44%

All drones

15%
16%
15%
23%
13%
8%
4%
18%
17%
14%
15%

Don't know

12%
10%
14%
6%
21%
16%
25%
10%
10%
12%
12%

Don't care

3%
3%
4%
3%
2%
4%
0%
6%
3%
2%
3%
Q2. Homeland Security said while at least some of the sightings are drones, many are manned aircraft and natural objects in the night time sky, and that the public is at not at risk.

The Pentagon said the reported drone objects are not US military drones nor were they coming from a foreign country or adversary.

Assuming at least some of the objects are drones, what amount of risk do you think they pose to the public or national security?
overall
custom
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+

Large risk

19%
22%
17%
32%
12%
6%
0%
17%
25%
20%
19%

Medium

30%
26%
33%
34%
24%
26%
48%
27%
29%
25%
30%

Small

27%
28%
25%
15%
31%
37%
37%
24%
24%
30%
27%

None

14%
16%
11%
9%
13%
20%
4%
21%
12%
14%
14%

Moot: none are drones

1%
1%
1%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
1%
1%

Don't know

7%
5%
9%
6%
13%
8%
4%
6%
8%
8%
7%

Don't care

3%
2%
4%
3%
7%
2%
7%
6%
1%
1%
3%
Q3. What is your best guess as to what the drones are?
overall
custom
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+

Mostly hobbyists

16%
19%
12%
6%
12%
26%
17%
17%
14%
15%
16%

Mostly US govt

20%
20%
20%
30%
27%
7%
11%
18%
22%
21%
20%

Mostly foreign govts

8%
9%
8%
12%
6%
5%
0%
8%
9%
12%
8%

Mostly commercial (delivery, photography, et al)

3%
2%
5%
1%
4%
6%
0%
0%
5%
6%
3%

Equal mix of the above

31%
28%
34%
29%
27%
34%
17%
29%
37%
30%
31%

Other

4%
1%
7%
3%
8%
4%
7%
8%
2%
1%
4%

Can't hazard a guess

14%
18%
11%
16%
14%
12%
48%
10%
9%
12%
14%

There are no drones

1%
2%
0%
0%
1%
1%
0%
2%
1%
1%
1%

Don't care

3%
2%
3%
3%
2%
4%
0%
7%
2%
1%
3%

2014 Have you ever seen a UFO?

12% Yes

88% No

2021 What do you make of the 143 unidentified flying objects reported by military planes that the US govt couldn't explain?

21% Secret US tech

19% Foreign spy tech

28% Tech by extraterrestrials

7% Birds, weather balloons, rocket launches and other"innocent" objects

0% Someone spoofing pilots' tracking systems

4% Errors on the part of radar and other detection technologies

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