Chicago voter, circa 1905. Getty // Chicago History Museum
Q1. This past week, a handful of credible pollsters have reported results that show Donald Trump ahead in the national vote by a point or two, after showing him trailing by a point or two for the past 1-2 months.
Do you think these polls indicate anything about Trump's chances to win the election?
Do you think these polls indicate anything about Trump's chances to win the election?
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
More likely now to win than before
39%
55%
24%
68%
39%
10%
57%
37%
35%
33%
Less likely
7%
3%
12%
2%
6%
13%
6%
7%
7%
9%
No more or less likely
49%
39%
57%
27%
47%
71%
36%
50%
52%
53%
Don't know
4%
3%
6%
3%
8%
5%
0%
5%
6%
4%
Don't care
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
Q2. How important do you think it is that the result of this presidential election is known on election night, and do you think it will be known that night?
Note: For the sake of argument, we will say the result is known when the Associated Press calls a winner, and that election night ends at 3am Wednesday morning. Also note, some swing states, such as PA and WI, do not start processing mail-in ballots until election day.
Note: For the sake of argument, we will say the result is known when the Associated Press calls a winner, and that election night ends at 3am Wednesday morning. Also note, some swing states, such as PA and WI, do not start processing mail-in ballots until election day.
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Very important it is known, will be known
22%
18%
26%
27%
15%
18%
25%
19%
23%
21%
Very important, won't be
51%
55%
47%
62%
46%
40%
52%
50%
49%
53%
Not very important, will be
5%
5%
5%
5%
8%
4%
2%
6%
6%
4%
Not very important, won't be
21%
22%
20%
5%
28%
35%
21%
22%
20%
21%
Don't know
1%
0%
2%
0%
2%
2%
0%
2%
1%
1%
Don't care
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Q3. Whom do you plan to vote for for president, and would you like to see split government? (meaning at least one chamber of Congress is held by other party than your presidential pick)
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Voting for Trump, want split
3%
2%
5%
6%
6%
0%
1%
4%
4%
3%
Voting for Trump, don't want split
45%
61%
30%
93%
28%
0%
50%
39%
50%
39%
Voting for Harris, want split
2%
1%
3%
0%
9%
3%
1%
1%
2%
5%
Voting for Harris, don't want split
47%
32%
61%
1%
40%
96%
45%
52%
41%
53%
Voting for other for president
1%
2%
1%
0%
11%
0%
2%
2%
1%
1%
Don't know who I'm voting for
0%
1%
0%
0%
2%
0%
1%
0%
0%
Don't plan to vote
1%
1%
0%
0%
3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
Don't care
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Poll Comments (45)
Entities in this poll: (rate or comment)
