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January 25, 2024 1490 replies Error Margin: + 3%
vermin-supreme-nh-4x3.jpg
Vermin Supreme campaigning in NH, 2011. Getty // Darren McCollester
Q1. In Tuesday's New Hampshire Republican primary, Donald Trump won with 54%, v Nikki Haley's 43%.

NH allows independents to vote in primaries. Among Republicans, Trump won 66/33, among independents Haley won 67/31.

What is your view of these results?
(check all that apply)
overall
custom
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+

Good result for Trump

45%
52%
37%
77%
42%
19%
52%
48%
44%
38%
45%

Bad for Trump

28%
30%
28%
10%
27%
45%
34%
32%
26%
27%
28%

Good for Haley

39%
36%
43%
22%
39%
53%
44%
36%
37%
41%
39%

Bad for Haley

23%
32%
14%
35%
25%
12%
38%
26%
18%
14%
23%

None of these

7%
5%
7%
3%
7%
9%
6%
7%
7%
8%
7%

Don't know

4%
3%
4%
2%
8%
4%
9%
2%
3%
3%
4%

Don't care

5%
3%
6%
2%
8%
7%
1%
7%
5%
5%
5%
Q2. For 2024, the Democratic Party (DNC) replaced New Hampshire with South Carolina as its first primary.

However, NH's constitution requires it hold the first primaries, so it did hold a Democratic vote on Tuesday. The DNC said it would not award any delegates from that vote, and Joe Biden wouldn't appear on ballots.

Voters wrote Biden in, and he won with 55%. Dean Phillips had 20%, Marianne Williamson 5%, with the remaining 20% split among numerous candidates including Vermin Supreme (0.6%) and Paperboy Prince (0.2%).

How do you view these results?
(check all that apply)
overall
custom
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+

Good result for Biden

61%
56%
64%
36%
56%
82%
71%
55%
56%
64%
61%

Bad for Biden

13%
17%
11%
23%
20%
4%
17%
16%
12%
10%
13%

Good for Phillips

14%
15%
12%
15%
16%
12%
28%
11%
9%
10%
14%

Bad for Phillips

22%
26%
18%
14%
19%
30%
33%
27%
16%
17%
22%

Good for Williamson

4%
4%
3%
6%
1%
2%
6%
5%
3%
2%
4%

Bad for Williamson

27%
32%
22%
16%
28%
37%
46%
34%
18%
19%
27%

None of these

12%
10%
14%
21%
9%
5%
6%
17%
14%
9%
12%

Don't know

4%
6%
3%
4%
6%
4%
7%
2%
5%
4%
4%

Don't care

9%
11%
6%
14%
10%
4%
3%
13%
8%
10%
9%
Q3. In NH, Phillips got 20% of the vote as a relative unknown v an incumbent president, though Biden wasn't on the ballot and didn't campaign there.

In NH, Haley got 43% of the vote against a former president, though polls show she trails Trump by 30 points in her home state of SC, the site of the next contested GOP primary.

The Democratic primary in SC is Feb 3, the GOP is Feb 24. In your opinion, who should stay in the race until their SC primary? (check all that apply)
overall
custom
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+

Phillips should

39%
43%
35%
53%
48%
25%
48%
38%
40%
31%
39%

Phillips should not

35%
38%
35%
24%
27%
47%
38%
39%
32%
34%
35%

Haley should

62%
56%
67%
36%
66%
82%
60%
60%
61%
65%
62%

Haley should not

23%
31%
16%
48%
21%
4%
24%
28%
22%
20%
23%

None of these

4%
4%
5%
6%
5%
3%
0%
5%
6%
4%
4%

Don't know

4%
3%
4%
2%
4%
6%
10%
2%
3%
3%
4%

Don't care

7%
6%
7%
7%
6%
6%
4%
11%
6%
5%
7%

After the Iowa Caucuses, 39% said Haley had more than a 5% chance of winning the GOP nomination. 

Poll Comments (14)
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