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Election Issue
November 9, 2023 1743 replies Error Margin: + 2%
Anti-abortion demonstrators mark the 13th anniversary of Roe v. Wade, 1986. Getty // Bettmann
Anti-abortion demonstrators mark the 13th anniversary of Roe v. Wade, 1986. Getty // Bettmann
Q1. How important, if at all, will the issue of abortion be in your vote for president, and members of Congress, in 2024?
overall
custom
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Group A

President - very

61%
50%
70%
36%
46%
84%
60%
61%
59%
64%
61%

President - somewhat

16%
21%
11%
21%
24%
10%
16%
18%
14%
16%
16%

President - not very

11%
13%
10%
21%
11%
4%
14%
11%
11%
9%
11%

President - not at all

12%
15%
8%
22%
18%
2%
9%
7%
16%
11%
12%
Group B

Congress - very

67%
56%
77%
42%
56%
90%
65%
70%
64%
71%
67%

Congress - somewhat

14%
20%
9%
24%
20%
6%
17%
15%
14%
11%
14%

Congress - not very

8%
10%
6%
15%
10%
3%
9%
8%
9%
7%
8%

Congress - not at all

10%
12%
7%
18%
14%
2%
8%
6%
13%
9%
10%

Don't know

1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
0%
0%
2%
1%
0%
1%

Don't care

1%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
2%
1%
0%
1%
Q2. In a closely watched election Tuesday in Virginia, Democrats won victories that gave it control of both chambers of the state's legislature.

Democrats campaigned in support of existing state law that allows abortions until 26 weeks, while Republicans supported a ban after 15 weeks, with exceptions for rape, incest, or to protect the life of the mother.

If you voted in an election where a vote for one side would mean a ban at 15 weeks, and a vote for the other would mean a ban at 26 weeks, is your vote likely to be determined solely on this issue, partially, or not at all?
overall
custom
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+

Soley, and I'd vote 15 week

16%
20%
13%
35%
11%
2%
14%
12%
21%
15%
16%

Solely, I'd vote 26

24%
12%
36%
2%
17%
42%
13%
27%
23%
30%
24%

Partially, I'd vote 15

20%
26%
16%
41%
24%
3%
22%
17%
24%
18%
20%

Partially, vote 26

29%
29%
27%
8%
29%
46%
44%
33%
21%
23%
29%

Not at all

9%
12%
7%
12%
15%
5%
7%
8%
9%
13%
9%

Don't know

2%
2%
1%
2%
2%
1%
0%
3%
2%
2%
2%

Don't care

0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Q3. In June 2022, the Supreme Court repealed its 1973 Roe v Wade decision, with 6 Republican-appointed justices voting to repeal, and 3 Democrat-appointed justices opposed.

Roe v Wade held that women could decide on abortions free of state interference until at least the 28th week of pregnancy. Its repeal meant states could set their own abortion rules — fourteen made abortion illegal, and six set bans that apply earlier than 28 weeks.

Which elections do you think the repeal of Roe v Wade has materially impacted, or will? (check all that apply)
overall
custom
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+

2022 Midterms, helped Dems

70%
70%
70%
51%
66%
86%
73%
71%
65%
74%
70%

2022 Midterms, helped GOP

7%
7%
8%
9%
4%
6%
10%
6%
7%
5%
7%

2024 Presidential, will help Dems

65%
57%
71%
36%
59%
89%
57%
65%
65%
72%
65%

2024 Presidential, will help GOP

8%
8%
10%
14%
8%
5%
9%
9%
9%
8%
8%

2024 Congressional, will help Dems

66%
58%
71%
40%
60%
88%
59%
68%
64%
72%
66%

2024 Congressional, will help GOP

7%
6%
9%
11%
6%
4%
8%
7%
8%
6%
7%

None of these

6%
8%
4%
13%
6%
0%
1%
8%
8%
5%
6%

Don't know

10%
11%
9%
18%
14%
2%
16%
9%
8%
8%
10%

Don't care

1%
1%
0%
1%
2%
0%
1%
2%
0%
1%

In a Washington Post poll of Virginia voters prior to Tuesday's election, 60% said abortion was a very important factor in their vote, 20% said fairly important, 11% said not too important, and 8% not at all important. 

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