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May 2, 2023 1551 replies Error Margin: + 2%
RFK-Jr-Jane-Fonda-4x3.jpg
RFK Jr and Jane Fonda at 2019 climate change protest. Getty // John Lamparski
Q1. Senator Tim Scott (R, SC) has signaled he will soon announce his campaign for the 2024 GOP nomination for president. Do you like Scott, and does he have a chance of being the nominee?
overall
custom
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+

Like him, he has a chance

10%
13%
6%
19%
8%
0%
9%
10%
10%
9%
10%

Like him, no chance

24%
27%
20%
43%
21%
4%
10%
18%
32%
31%
24%

Don't like, has chance

6%
3%
8%
1%
5%
10%
5%
9%
5%
4%
6%

Don't like, no chance

28%
23%
36%
4%
25%
56%
27%
28%
27%
36%
28%

Don't know enough to say

31%
33%
28%
33%
41%
28%
49%
32%
27%
18%
31%

Don't care

1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
2%
1%
1%
Q2. Robert F Kennedy Jr announced last month that he is seeking the 2024 Democratic nomination for president. Do you like RFK Jr, and does he have a chance of being the nominee?
overall
custom
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+

Like him, he has a chance

15%
15%
15%
23%
16%
7%
9%
16%
15%
20%
15%

Like him, no chance

15%
17%
13%
21%
15%
8%
14%
9%
17%
19%
15%

Don't like, has chance

10%
10%
11%
13%
8%
8%
12%
9%
12%
6%
10%

Don't like, no chance

35%
32%
38%
16%
32%
56%
13%
47%
36%
43%
35%

Don't know enough to say

24%
26%
22%
27%
27%
20%
52%
17%
19%
10%
24%

Don't care

1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
2%
1%
1%
Q3. The Disney Corporation filed a lawsuit against Governor, and likely 2024 GOP presidential candidate, Ron DeSantis (R, FL).

Earlier this year Disney criticized a bill signed into law by DeSantis that limited gender and sexual orientation instruction in Florida classrooms. DeSantis subsequently stripped Disney of control of its special tax district, which ultimately resulted in revocation of zoning rights that the company says it needs to develop properties.

The suit alleges DeSantis violated the company's constitutional rights with targeted retaliation against Disney's protected speech. What is your view on how this works out legally and politically for DeSantis?
overall
custom
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Group A

Legally, well for DeSantis

40%
50%
32%
77%
31%
3%
35%
35%
47%
40%
40%

Poorly

50%
38%
60%
7%
55%
93%
51%
55%
42%
53%
50%

Neither

8%
9%
7%
13%
9%
3%
12%
7%
8%
5%
8%
Group B

Politically, well for DeSantis

43%
54%
34%
76%
38%
10%
45%
37%
47%
42%
43%

Poorly

44%
34%
54%
10%
45%
80%
38%
51%
40%
51%
44%

Neither

10%
9%
10%
10%
12%
9%
15%
10%
9%
4%
10%

Don't know

2%
3%
2%
3%
4%
1%
2%
2%
2%
3%
2%

Don't care

1%
0%
2%
0%
2%
1%
0%
2%
1%
1%
1%

There are 1800 special tax districts in Florida, including one controlled by the Daytona Speedway, and another by The Villages, the 130,000 strong retirment community 60 miles northwest of Disney World. 

Peggy Noonan, writing in the WSJ said "Watch (RFK Jr). He is going to be a force this year." (To be clear, we have no view on this, just reposting. Noonan also said in the runup to the 2016 primaries that the GOP presidential field, eventually won wire to wire by Donald Trump, was the "strongest she could recall.")

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