Sunday, 19 Jan On this day ...
The "Trump House" near Pittsburgh. Getty // Win Mcnamee
Q1. Former President Donald Trump is expected to announce on Tuesday that he is running for president in 2024.
Six former presidents ran for the office having previously left via losing an election or retirement, with one (Grover Cleveland) winning his comeback. How do you think Trump will do?
Six former presidents ran for the office having previously left via losing an election or retirement, with one (Grover Cleveland) winning his comeback. How do you think Trump will do?
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Not running
2%
1%
2%
1%
3%
3%
1%
0%
3%
4%
Run, but drop out before primaries start
8%
5%
10%
3%
9%
11%
2%
4%
12%
13%
Participate in at least one primary, lose nomination
45%
44%
46%
41%
45%
49%
44%
47%
43%
45%
Win nomination, lose general election
21%
22%
19%
14%
20%
27%
31%
24%
15%
14%
Win general election
15%
20%
10%
30%
14%
2%
15%
12%
16%
14%
None of these
2%
1%
3%
2%
1%
2%
0%
1%
4%
3%
Don't know
6%
6%
7%
8%
7%
4%
6%
9%
5%
5%
Don't care
2%
1%
2%
1%
2%
2%
0%
1%
3%
2%
Q2. From among these, which do you think is Trump's biggest hurdle to winning reelection, if any?
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
January 6th
23%
19%
27%
15%
26%
30%
26%
21%
22%
25%
Joe Biden
2%
3%
1%
1%
1%
2%
3%
3%
1%
2%
Ron DeSantis
24%
27%
22%
32%
24%
18%
24%
30%
23%
18%
Glenn Youngkin
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2022 Midterm results
14%
14%
14%
9%
9%
19%
20%
10%
11%
17%
Legal challenges
16%
12%
19%
9%
17%
22%
11%
16%
18%
17%
Age
2%
3%
1%
3%
3%
1%
3%
1%
2%
2%
Other
10%
11%
9%
15%
10%
4%
7%
8%
12%
10%
None are real hurdles
7%
9%
5%
13%
8%
1%
3%
5%
10%
8%
Don't know
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
3%
5%
1%
Don't care
1%
0%
1%
0%
1%
1%
0%
0%
1%
1%
Q3. From among these, which do you think is Trump's biggest asset in winning reelection, if any?
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Fundraising ability
6%
5%
6%
6%
5%
6%
3%
4%
7%
8%
Poor quality of opponents
7%
9%
4%
9%
13%
4%
6%
8%
6%
7%
Support of GOP elected officials
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
4%
5%
3%
3%
2%
Anti-wokeness, anti-political correctness
20%
23%
18%
39%
19%
3%
12%
25%
23%
17%
Unconditional support of his base
49%
49%
49%
37%
43%
61%
67%
50%
41%
40%
Campaign team
0%
0%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1%
1%
Other
2%
2%
2%
3%
3%
0%
2%
0%
3%
2%
None are real assets
11%
8%
14%
3%
14%
18%
3%
8%
15%
19%
Don't know
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
3%
1%
1%
Don't care
1%
1%
2%
0%
1%
2%
0%
0%
2%
2%
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