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February 22, 2022 573 replies
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Photo illustration: Madeleine Mermall
Q1. Last week, the Biden administration said that Russia recognizing the self-declared "People's Republics" of Donetsk and Luhansk, in eastern Ukraine, would violate international law and Ukraine's sovereignty, and would "necessitate a swift and firm response" from America and its allies.

On Monday, Russia recognized the independence of the two Republics. Your view? (Please choose two, one from each of A and B)
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Group A

The US should respond with military force

15%
17%
15%
22%
11%
12%
17%
18%
13%
14%

The US should respond with extreme economic sanctions that may gravely affect ordinary Russians

55%
54%
56%
48%
50%
63%
37%
52%
63%
67%

The US should respond with milder sanctions

11%
11%
11%
5%
17%
16%
14%
18%
7%
3%

The US should not respond

11%
14%
8%
13%
22%
7%
23%
8%
6%
8%
Group B

I'm willing to undergo a bit of financial hardship (i.e. more expensive gasoline) that may come with a firm response

56%
56%
56%
42%
44%
71%
47%
60%
55%
62%

I'm not willing to undergo a bit of financial hardship that may come with a firm response

28%
26%
30%
36%
39%
19%
40%
20%
28%
26%

None of these

5%
5%
4%
9%
6%
0%
5%
4%
4%
5%

Don't care

4%
2%
5%
6%
0%
2%
2%
0%
7%
3%
Q2. Many believe Putin's actions are to keep Ukraine from drifting closer politically to the West. What percentage of Ukrainians do you think would prefer to be closer with the West than Russia, and will Ukraine move in that direction? (Please choose two, one from each of A and B)
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Group A

The vast majority of Ukrainians want to be closer with the West than Russia

33%
28%
39%
38%
28%
30%
19%
18%
46%
49%

A majority

35%
37%
34%
27%
39%
44%
44%
48%
24%
28%

About half

14%
16%
12%
15%
17%
11%
19%
10%
15%
10%

A minority

4%
6%
1%
7%
11%
1%
7%
4%
1%
3%

A very small minority

4%
3%
5%
0%
6%
7%
0%
8%
3%
5%
Group B

In 10 years Ukraine will be closer to the West than now

54%
49%
59%
42%
56%
66%
47%
42%
61%
67%

In 10 years Ukraine will not be closer to the West than now

23%
23%
22%
28%
22%
18%
35%
22%
19%
18%

None of these

6%
5%
6%
6%
11%
5%
5%
8%
6%
5%

Don't care

7%
8%
5%
9%
6%
3%
7%
8%
9%
0%
Q3. Last week Secretary of State Antony Blinken said US intelligence shows that Russia will justify invasion of Ukraine with a false flag event "a so-called terrorist bombing, a fake or real chemical attack, we don't know exactly."

He also said the invasion would start with cyberattacks, along with missiles and bombs across Ukraine, with Russian troops, advancing on the capital of Kyiv. Your view? (Please choose two, one from each pair)
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Group A

I believe that this is or was Russia's plan

67%
66%
68%
59%
61%
76%
57%
66%
67%
79%

I don't believe that this is or was Russia's plan

21%
22%
19%
27%
22%
15%
33%
26%
15%
13%
Group B

Pre-announcing Russia's expected moves is a good tactic

56%
54%
60%
41%
50%
74%
49%
54%
64%
59%

Pre-announcing Russia's expected moves is not a good tactic

26%
28%
25%
38%
33%
14%
40%
24%
19%
26%

None of these

6%
6%
6%
9%
6%
3%
2%
8%
7%
8%

Don't care

6%
6%
5%
9%
6%
3%
5%
8%
7%
0%
Related Polls

Inside Strait Feb 10, 2022

67% said the US should be very interested in keeping Ukraine from Russia, slightly fewer than said the same about keeping Taiwan from China

Bigger Than the Bread Basket December, 2021

50% said Ukraine should be a full member of NATO
21% said a partner
6% said neither

66% said Russia will attack Ukraine 'some time soon'
21% said they would not

40% said an attack should be met w US military force
46% said not

17% said Putin's motivation for designs on Ukraine was for more physical space between Russia and NATO
35% to destabilize a democracy
22% he wanted to maintain personal international relevance
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