Q1. The election is on Tuesday. Who gets your vote for President?
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Joe Biden, already voted in person
19%
12%
26%
3%
6%
37%
41%
19%
17%
12%
Joe Biden, already mailed my ballot
30%
31%
30%
3%
24%
59%
24%
42%
27%
28%
Joe Biden, haven't voted yet
3%
1%
5%
0%
6%
4%
6%
0%
3%
2%
Donald Trump, already voted in person
18%
19%
15%
34%
24%
0%
6%
13%
14%
32%
Donald Trump, already mailed my ballot
11%
14%
9%
25%
6%
0%
0%
6%
11%
17%
Donald Trump, haven't voted yet
15%
13%
17%
28%
18%
1%
6%
13%
24%
5%
Other, already voted in person
2%
4%
0%
3%
6%
0%
6%
6%
0%
Other, already mailed my ballot
2%
4%
0%
3%
6%
0%
12%
0%
2%
Other, haven't voted yet
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Don't intend to vote
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
None of these
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Q2. Which party gets your vote for Senate?
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
50%
44%
56%
4%
47%
96%
76%
57%
46%
41%
Republican
45%
49%
40%
90%
47%
1%
24%
26%
51%
56%
Other
2%
4%
0%
3%
6%
0%
0%
6%
2%
Don't intend to vote
0%
1%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
None of these
3%
3%
4%
3%
0%
4%
0%
13%
1%
0%
Q3. What do you think of the accuracy of these 2020 presidential election polling averages? (By 'accurate' we mean it will be within 2 pct points either way of the actual vote. So a polling average of Biden +7.8 nationally is 'accurate' if he wins the popular vote by 5.8 to 9.8 pts. Please choose three, one from each trio.)
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
None of these
6%
5%
7%
13%
0%
0%
0%
6%
9%
5%
Don't know
12%
9%
15%
12%
18%
11%
35%
13%
9%
7%
Don't care
0%
0%
0%
0%
6%
0%
0%
0%
1%
0%
The 2016 popular vote polling average had Hillary Clinton winning by 2.5 pts and she won by 2.1 pts -- an 'accurate' estimate.
However in a handful of upper midwestern states the averages overestimated her share by 3-7 pts.
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