Friday, 06 Dec On this day ...
Q1. Democrats won governorships in Virginia and New Jersey Tuesday night. Are either of these outcomes a meaningful barometer for how 2018 midterm elections will go? (please check 2, one from each set)
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Virginia -- indicates well for Dems
62%
55%
70%
33%
65%
91%
94%
59%
58%
Virginia -- indicates well for GOP
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Virginia -- no barometer
29%
41%
17%
55%
27%
3%
11%
25%
35%
NJ -- indicates well for Dems
48%
42%
54%
21%
50%
76%
61%
39%
52%
NJ -- indicates well for GOP
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
NJ -- no barometer
39%
51%
28%
59%
41%
16%
39%
40%
39%
None of these
4%
3%
5%
12%
0%
0%
0%
6%
4%
Don't know
8%
5%
10%
9%
9%
3%
8%
12%
5%
Don't care
2%
1%
2%
0%
6%
0%
8%
3%
0%
Q2. Which will have a majority in the Senate after the 2018 midterm elections? (GOP currently hold 52-46 edge, with 2 Independents)
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrats
33%
26%
39%
3%
32%
66%
32%
32%
33%
Republicans
38%
45%
32%
72%
30%
13%
44%
43%
35%
Even split (ignoring VP vote in cases of tie)
14%
17%
11%
14%
20%
7%
14%
7%
19%
Don't know
13%
10%
16%
9%
17%
12%
8%
16%
12%
Don't care
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Q3. Which will have a majority in the House after the 2018 midterm elections? (GOP currently hold 240-194 edge, with 1 vacant)
male
female
rep
ind
dem
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrats
28%
28%
28%
9%
20%
59%
32%
40%
20%
Republicans
57%
63%
51%
85%
56%
28%
59%
46%
64%
Don't know
13%
7%
20%
5%
23%
12%
8%
13%
15%
Don't care
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
We asked in June as to whether special elections in South Carolina and Georgia would be good barometers for 2018 results -- neither received a majority vote.
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